Determinants of the Ecological Footprint and the Pollution Haven Hypothesis: A Nonlinear Time Series Analysis for Türkiye
Şu kitabın bölümü: Bal, H. & Ata, A. Y. (eds.) 2025. Ekonomide Yeni Dönüşümler Işığında Makro İktisadi Politikalar ve Uygulamalar.

Nur Aydın
Pamukkale Üniversitesi

Özet

This study was conducted to identify the key factors influencing the ecological footprint (environmental degradation) in Türkiye and to test the validity of the Pollution Haven Hypothesis. The analysis employs annual data for the period 1970-2024, examining the effects of foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, and energy consumption on environmental pressure using nonlinear time-series methods.

The results first show that the series has nonlinear properties. The nonlinear unit root and cointegration tests devised by Hepsağ (2021a, 2021b) were used. The results show that all variables are integrated in the same order, I(1), and that there is a symmetric but nonlinear long-run connection between them. The results indicate that the Pollution Haven Hypothesis is valid for Türkiye. In other words, Türkiye appears to be an attractive destination for polluting foreign investments due to its relatively lenient environmental standards. This situation is inconsistent with the country’s sustainable development objectives.

Kaynakça Gösterimi

Aydın, N. (2025). Determinants of the Ecological Footprint and the Pollution Haven Hypothesis: A Nonlinear Time Series Analysis for Türkiye. In: Bal, H. & Ata, A. Y. (eds.), Ekonomide Yeni Dönüşümler Işığında Makro İktisadi Politikalar ve Uygulamalar. Özgür Yayınları. DOI: https://doi.org/10.58830/ozgur.pub1115.c4510

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Yayın Tarihi

30 December 2025

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