Green Bonds and Market-Based Investor Sentiment: A Quantile Coherence Approach
Chapter from the book: Yılmaz, N. (ed.) 2026. Current Studies in the Field of Finance .

Semra Demir
Burdur Mehmet Akif Ersoy University
Halilibrahim Gökgöz
Afyon Kocatepe University

Synopsis

The growing interest in sustainable investment instruments in financial markets necessitates an in-depth examination of the sensitivities these assets exhibit toward risk factors. The aim of this study is to empirically investigate the dependency structure between the green bond index and the global volatility indicators - the VIX (equity market volatility), OVX (oil market volatility), and MOVE (bond market volatility) indices. In the analysis process, the Quantile Coherence approach developed by Baruník and Kley was employed in order to simultaneously evaluate the relationship among the variables both across different frequencies (short and long term) through the implicit components and under different market conditions (bear and bull markets). The findings obtained from the research indicate that, although the dependency between green bond returns and the volatility indices remains generally weak, it exhibits a pronounced heterogeneity and asymmetry depending on frequency and market conditions. Notably, the dependencies with the MOVE index are considerably more pronounced and longer-term compared to those with the VIX and OVX, revealing that risks originating from the broader bond market exert a more persistent and profound influence on the green bond market. In contrast, it is striking that the analyzed imaginary components are generally statistically insignificant. This demonstrates that volatility shocks do not exhibit a delayed transmission to the green bond market, and that the interaction in question occurs largely on a simultaneous (instantaneous) basis. Consequently, when the findings are evaluated collectively, it can be stated that the green bond market possesses a dynamic structure that varies according to frequency and market conditions in response to exogenous volatility shocks, yet — broadly speaking — a limited and somewhat sheltered dependency mechanism. In this respect, the study offers critical implications for investors and policymakers in terms of portfolio diversification and risk management.

How to cite this book

Demir, S. & Gökgöz, H. (2026). Green Bonds and Market-Based Investor Sentiment: A Quantile Coherence Approach. In: Yılmaz, N. (ed.), Current Studies in the Field of Finance . Özgür Publications. DOI: https://doi.org/10.58830/ozgur.pub1362.c5504

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Published

June 30, 2026

DOI